11/06/2014 - 4:00pm
11/20/2014 - 4:00pmEstelle Freedman
02/12/2015 - 4:00pmKathryn Gin Lum
Stanford scholars see slight shift to GOP in midterm elections
The political pendulum appears to be swinging back to the Republicans in the upcoming midterm elections on Nov. 4, according to Stanford scholars.
Despite perception problems and changing demographics, the GOP is expected to make gains in the House and the Senate in the upcoming midterm elections, say Stanford scholars.
"The GOP still has two major problems," said Segura, who is a co-principal investigator in a joint Stanford-University of Michigan project, the American National Election Studies, that involves a series of surveys on political participation and voting choices.
Segura said that the Republican Party is not well liked and is less popular than President Obama and congressional Democrats.
"Second, the national demography is shifting strongly against them. GOP congressional candidates get 90 percent of their votes from white voters, and the non-Hispanic white share of the electorate is getting smaller quickly," he added.
In the midterm elections, all 435 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives and 33 of the 100 seats in the Senate will be contested. Also at stake are 38 state and territorial governorships, 46 state legislatures, and numerous state and local races.
Segura expects the GOP will make gains in the Senate and modest gains in the House.